Revista de Saúde e Informática Médica

A System Dynamics Simulation Model of Hierarchical Medical Care System Reform in China

Abstract

Hao Zhang,Yue Liu,Qian Yang,Shuyan Gu,Xumei Zhen,Yongpeng Xia,Jianglei Zhao,Hai Yu,Hengjin Dong*

The hierarchical medical care system reform in China may lead to drastic changes of medical care utilizations distribution in different medical care subsystems. A medical care system dynamics model was constructed to simulate the intervention scenarios according to the reform measures, and to estimate changes of demands, utilizations distribution and reasonable resources allocation, in order to provide optimized intervention for decision-makers.